Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.179298 0.212561 0.249841 0.294657 0.347010 0.406168 0.478026
2025-06-22 0.130092 0.172731 0.225730 0.296192 0.387134 0.500248 0.651284
2025-06-29 0.100321 0.145120 0.205310 0.291561 0.411370 0.571196 0.799735
2025-07-06 0.080618 0.125279 0.189294 0.286885 0.430858 0.634168 0.941419
2025-07-13 0.070567 0.116628 0.186408 0.298543 0.472607 0.730446 1.138538
2025-07-20 0.064784 0.113082 0.189922 0.319252 0.529139 0.853230 1.387114
2025-07-27 0.058608 0.107641 0.189271 0.332664 0.575074 0.963877 1.628114
2025-08-03 0.051105 0.098571 0.181110 0.332139 0.597570 1.038874 1.819142
2025-08-10 0.043166 0.087337 0.167470 0.320015 0.598341 1.077340 1.952548
2025-08-17 0.036064 0.076443 0.152769 0.303726 0.589256 1.097168 2.054773
2025-08-24 0.032254 0.071325 0.147983 0.304922 0.611544 1.173382 2.262766
2025-08-31 0.027868 0.064300 0.138491 0.295696 0.612872 1.211326 2.404213
2025-09-07 0.025424 0.061229 0.136927 0.302953 0.648855 1.320810 2.697427
2025-09-14 0.022666 0.057029 0.132505 0.303934 0.672871 1.410921 2.965129
2025-09-21 0.019840 0.052146 0.125845 0.299134 0.684193 1.477028 3.192224
2025-09-28 0.017422 0.047779 0.119633 0.294338 0.694708 1.542233 3.423736
2025-10-05 0.016384 0.046671 0.120745 0.306281 0.743222 1.691014 3.843420
2025-10-12 0.015964 0.047093 0.125553 0.327497 0.815064 1.896437 4.403363
2025-10-19 0.015138 0.046274 0.127182 0.341236 0.871159 2.073014 4.917455
2025-10-26 0.013686 0.043438 0.123276 0.340698 0.893296 2.176171 5.278535
2025-11-02 0.011884 0.039240 0.115167 0.328279 0.884950 2.208982 5.483200
2025-11-09 0.010151 0.034892 0.105952 0.311592 0.863766 2.209473 5.612641
2025-11-16 0.009290 0.033083 0.103504 0.312817 0.888541 2.321683 6.017098